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Optimism And Economic Choice
作者:Manju Puri,David T. Robinson 访问次数: 更新日期:2012-1-16 16:21:15 来源:Journal of Financial Economics
 

Abstract


  We create a novel measure of optimism using the Survey of Consumer Finance by comparing self-reported life expectancy to that implied by statistical tables. This measure of optimism correlates with positive beliefs about future economic conditions and with psychometric tests of optimism. Optimism is related to numerous work/life choices: more optimistic people work harder, expect to retire later, are more likely to remarry, invest more in individual stocks, and save more. Interestingly, however, moderate  optimists  display  reasonable  financial  behavior,  whereas  extreme  optimists  display financial habits and behavior that are generally not considered prudent.


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Manju Puri

David T. Robinson

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